If the allies opt for their strategic autonomy and gradually untether themselves from what had formerly been their protector, the scenario has both economic and security implications. The economic consequences arise in two spheres: reduced access to the hegemonic power’s market means a negative shock for its exports which, in turn, translates int

loyal to the system it was ‘piggybacking’ on its rules: it exploited them in its favour but did not submit to their obligations. The asymmetry between the benefits it was deriving and the costs it was bearing was enabling it to close the gap in its global presence compared with the US at such a speed that in two or three decades it would end up

In order to validate the membership of the various blocs that emerge from analysing UN voting patterns, an econometric model was used to estimate the elasticities of each country’s Elcano Index score relative to the variables chosen in order to assess its economic prowess, its openness to the outside and its military and soft power. The groupings

Thus, in light of growing strategic competition from China’s expanding presence across the Indian Ocean — from Gwadar to Hambantota to Djibouti — the United States must develop contingency plans for worst-case scenarios, which may include but are not limited to: i) restricted access or lease termination post-2036 (or even earlier); ii) renewe

these measures were widely criticized as inadequate by Mauritius and other social groups, thereby increasing the legal challenges that began to gain traction, jeopardizing the future of this strategic base. Subsequently, in 2000, the UK High Court found that the expulsion of the Chagossians had been unlawful, a decision which was overturned by the